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The Kirchner couple suffered a heavy defeat in elections Sunday, in the partial legislative Argentinian. The Peronist party, led by Nestor Kirchner, the President Cristina husband, lost the majority in the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate. The debacle is total since Nestor Kirchner, head of State from 2003 to 2007 and a candidate for membership, is tilted to the wealthy businessman Francisco de Narvaez, in the province of Buenos Aires, traditional Peronist stronghold, which brings together 40 of the voters. The ruling party was also beaten in other major districts of the country, and particularly in Santa Cruz province which originate the Kirchners.
The presidential couple will have to thus build alliances, including with parties of left and centre-left to govern from December, when come into service the new parliamentarians. The negotiation and dialogue are far from their fort. Throughout the campaign, the former President has been threatening referring back to the chaos economic and policy, 2001, in the event of defeat of his party. "The kirchnérisme will have to share power, which will not be easy because Cristina Kirchner will need not only to mitigate its ideology and moderate political style, but also change of personality," wrote political analyst Rosendo Fraga, yesterday in the newspaper "La nación".
70 of the opposing voters
For the time being, the President could carry out a cabinet reshuffle taking into account this sanction vote. 70 of voters voted against the party in power while in 2007, the President was elected in the first round with 45 of the vote. It is his rigid management of the conflict with the rural world, last year, which led him to lose many of the allies. The country was paralyzed for six months by demonstrations and road blockades organized by disgruntled farmers in the Government's decision to increase 25 taxes to export of soy. In addition, critics of the President him criticize not deal effectively with the consequences of the international crisis.
According to private economists, the Argentina would be entered into recession. Industrial activity fell by 9.5 between January and April, according to the argentine Industrial Union. Even if massive layoffs have so far been avoided, unemployment is progressing and 14 40 millions of Argentines live below the poverty line. Insecurity and inflation are also in the rank of the concerns of the population.
This electoral setback marks the end of a political cycle, say analysts. The chances of the Kirchner to win the presidential election of 2011, appear to be thin. The Argentine political landscape has changed and the new let are the businessman Mauricio Macri, Mayor of Buenos Aires and ally of Francisco de Narvaez; Carlos Reutemann, former Formula 1 driver and dissident Peronist prevailed in the province of Santa Fe; and the Vice President, Julio Cobos, who opposed the President during the conflict with farmers. These mid-term elections mark the return of neo-liberal ideas defended by former President Carlos Menem in the 1990s. But the opposition, very divided between Peronist right-wing anti-kirchnéristes, social democratic, Socialist and minority left-wing parties will have to organize.
